Will AI Replace My Job?

Will AI replace teachers, lawyers, nurses, accountants or software engineers? 20 occupations ranked by how much of their work today's AI can actually do, with the tasks that make up each job and what the employment projection says. Free, and based on measured data rather than opinion.

20 occupations

Each occupation links to a full automation risk profile: which tasks make up the job, how much of each one AI can already do, the pay, and the ten year employment outlook. The number is its place among all 785 occupations measured by Microsoft Research, where lower means more exposed. The second figure is the US Bureau of Labor Statistics projection to 2035, and the two disagree more often than you would expect.

Interpreters #1+2% by 2035 Writers #3-0.3% by 2035 Mathematicians #10+0.6% by 2035 Data analysts #19+34.6% by 2035 Business analysts #23+10.1% by 2035 Programmers #81-7.3% by 2035 Pharmacists #119+5.2% by 2035 Software engineers #120+10.2% by 2035 Mechanical engineers #141+11.2% by 2035 Graphic designers #196-1.7% by 2035 Interior designers #230+2.7% by 2035 Accountants #255+5% by 2035 Teachers #267-0.4% by 2035 Lawyers #286+4.7% by 2035 Doctors #334+3.3% by 2035 Electricians #371+9.2% by 2035 Radiologists #400+3.4% by 2035 Nurses #460+5.6% by 2035 Pilots #522+8.3% by 2035 Dentists #705+5.7% by 2035

None of these is your job, exactly.

The calculator reads your actual role and the tasks you do. It takes about a minute.

Analyze my job

Sources

AI exposure: Tomlinson et al., Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations, Microsoft Research. CC BY 4.0.
Employment and projections: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035.